Hint of A Pause
During April, the North American Capital markets traded back and forth between investor optimism and concerns. With one eye on the US...
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Vipul Arora
- Apr 6
More Signs that Peak Policy Rates are Nearby
The financial market developments of the last month strengthened the thesis of a potential hard landing that had gained ground...
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Vipul Arora
- Mar 6
Expectations Reset!
After a positive start to the year in January, the month of February jolted financial market participants out of complacency
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Vipul Arora
- Feb 6
A Reluctant Hawk
Since our last update, the most important developments for the North American markets have been
29 views0 comments
Vipul Arora
- Jan 6
2023: The Glass is Half Full
The theme of last month's trading could be the theme that prevails in the markets for the next few months.
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Vipul Arora
- Dec 7, 2022
A Gift for the Holiday Season!
A cautious start to the month of November after the FOMC’s (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting and policy rates guidance on November...
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Vipul Arora
- Nov 7, 2022
Its Halloween before Christmas!
The conditions were just right for a bounce back in equity markets during the month of October.
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Vipul Arora
- Oct 7, 2022
A Little Bad News Could be Good
The Bank of Canada and the US Federal Reserve both increased policy rates by 75 basis points during the month of September, bringing...
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Vipul Arora
- Sep 2, 2022
BEAR with us...We are going hiking!
Each year since 1982, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City sponsors an Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. This event...
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Vipul Arora
- Aug 5, 2022
On the Brink of a Recession?
As a rule of thumb, contraction in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for two consecutive quarters is considered a recession.
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Vipul Arora
- Jul 7, 2022
Peak Inflation Delayed?
In June 2022, inflation, the most closely watched, and potentially the most important economic datapoint(s) from an investors’...
66 views0 comments
Vipul Arora
- Jun 1, 2022
Growth vs. Inflation: A Trade Off
The month of May began tumultuously with the S&P 500 and S&P TSX Indices, at one point, down by ~-8.5% and -5.8%, respectively. The...
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Vipul Arora
- May 9, 2022
In Limbo
In general, April is considered a strong month in the markets. Since 1970, April performance of the S&P 500 Index has yielded positive...
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Vipul Arora
- Apr 1, 2022
All Eyes on Inflation
“There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen” – Vladimir Llyich Lenin.
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Vipul Arora
- Mar 1, 2022
Navigating Markets Through Multiple Risks
What has happened?
The Global markets have processed a lot over these first two months of 2022. The establishment of high inflation and an
12 views0 comments
Vipul Arora
- Feb 1, 2022
Central Banks Take Away the Punch Bowl…. And the Markets Throw a Tantrum
William McChesney Martin Jr., the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve from 1951 to 1970 famously said, “The job of the Federal Reserve is to
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Vipul Arora
- Jan 1, 2022
A Strong Finish to the Year… With a Few Caveats
The S&P 500 Index and the S&P TSX index both ended the year 2021 with a robust total return of ~28.7% and ~25.1%, respectively. Underpinned
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Vipul Arora
- Dec 1, 2021
Too Early to Call the End of Bull Market!!
After two years of stellar returns, Investors have started asking how long this bull market can last. To add to their nervousness, the media
7 views0 comments
Vipul Arora
- Nov 1, 2021
Stagflation. Is it a Real Worry?
The North American stock markets levelled out during the month of October after a tumultuous September as investors digested several pivots
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Vipul Arora
- Oct 1, 2021
A Dangerous Man
On September 28th, 2021, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, faced his most hostile hearing to date, in front of Congress, since
6 views0 comments
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